Rachel Reeves Grapples with Her Most Significant Problem: The Brexit Dilemma
Rachel Reeves has approached this week's budget like a unwilling bather creeping into icy water, attempting to lessen the hardship through incremental immersion.
Early Actions and Tax Commitments
She started addressing the problem of insufficient revenue near the conclusion of the summer months. At first, she declined to stand by earlier assertions that tax rises in the previous year's financial statement would be the final ones.
Subsequently, in early November, she took a bolder step into the cold waves. A speech committed to "do what is necessary" to finance state services and keep borrowing costs low.
Election Commitment and Government Backtrack
After 10 days, the Treasury had retracted the implication. The campaign pledge still stood ultimately. Similar to any icy-water dipper realizes, this halted immersion and quivering pullback is the most painful of all methods. No strategy prolongs the discomfort like hesitation.
It's challenging to be decisive when deciding between types of internally generated injury.
Hope as Approach
Expectation has not been a successful tactic for the administration. At the core of the prime minister's general election campaign was the futile hope of somehow satisfying the public's call for enhanced state services without undoing significant amounts of Conservative reductions in taxation.
Rhetoric Deficiency
Not once has either the prime minister or the chancellor successfully communicated a feeling of shared mission to explain all this pain. Partly that is a challenge of leadership presence. Both leaders are uncannily comparable in their ineffective messaging, wooden and reserved in a way that drives audiences back instead of attracting them closer.
Brexit Deal and Financial Truth
Similarly to political pressure to support public services has compelled the Treasury to acknowledge that revenue must rise, the commercial requirement of increasing economic expansion makes it more challenging to disregard the expense of detachment from the EU market.
EU Relations and Discussions
Ministers devoted a year experimenting in the early stages of closer ties with the European Union: suggestions to eliminate border inspections on agricultural goods; a student movement initiative. Vision went a bit deeper on energy, defence and security cooperation, but no significant agreements has to date been finalized.
Political Reality and International Standing
In the absence clear direction and drive from the prime minister's office, talks are stuck. Brussels authorities says single-market privileges are unlocked with financial input to the continental treasury. British officials are aware that's the deal. That doesn't cause them enthusiastic for a open dispute and Nigel Farage screaming betrayal over whatever price ends up being agreed.
Economic Impact and Political Terminology
Economic reality has caused some shift in the administration's tone on the EU relationship. The chancellor has started naming EU withdrawal alongside the coronavirus crisis as a reason of financial harm that the exchequer is working hard to fix. Other ministers have followed suit, although they deliberately ascribe the responsibility to "poor negotiation terms" or "the exit process", never just "leaving".
International Context and Long-term Possibilities
The problem of the nation's future relationship with the European Union can't be simplified to procedural changes and border mechanisms when the entire international system is in tumultuous flux. Considering everything that has happened since the Brexit vote, it feels appropriate still to be posing the core matter: were the UK's priorities served by departing the European Union?
Summary
These constitute harsh, difficult realities about Britain's situation in turbulent international waters. It is not surprising that the prime minister and the chancellor recoil from the responsibility. It would take them outside their comfort zone, into currents that they dare not oppose. So as an alternative they persist anxiously walking the coastline, wishing that possibly in the near future the tide will shift.